May 23rd, 2007

The Disruptive Shift Of Ad Spending From Offline to Online

by Scott Karp

Every media company is positioning itself to benefit from the increasing shift of ad dollars from offline media to online and digital media, but in many cases ad dollars aren’t moving online in a 1-to-1 ratio. That’s why newspapers, for example, still get 80-90% of ad revenue from print, an artifact of monopoly pricing that doesn’t exist online. But the change in advertising economics from offline to online sometimes results not just in a deflation of ad spending but in the abandonment of ad spending.

Here’s a small but telling example:

AUGUSTA (May 23, 2007): A legislative committee has voted 11-2 in support of a bill that would no longer require the state to put legal notices in newspapers, and instead use the Web to keep the public informed – a plan opponents say would leave those without an Internet connection out of the loop.

The bill is being sponsored by Rep. Teresea Hayes, D-Buckfield, as a way to save state government an estimated $750,000 a year – money that newspaper executives readily admit would hurt their bottom lines.

It would require the state to maintain a Web site to post those notices, including upcoming public hearings on legislative bills and rule changes proposed by state departments and agencies.

State agencies aren’t exactly billion dollar ad spenders, but they are part of the traditional advertising ecosystem. Now that a state agency can create its own media, i.e. just put up a site, findable by search, there’s no need to pay other media, i.e. newspapers, to distribute the information to the public.

On the other hand, it may be that the ad revenue still exists, just not in the same form. Here’s what you get when you search on Google for “public notices augusta“:

google-search-augusta-public-notices.jpg

The ad revnue is indeed there — it’s just going to Google instead of local newspapers.

Comments (6 Responses so far)

  1. This is a good subject but you need to go into it more about other areas. For instance the recent news about the Spiderman movie shifting the ad budget online and getting great results is a good example. The three ad agency purchases by Google, Yahoo and Microsoft might help with this shift.

    The reality is most media companies do not have any idea how to market online.

  2. If I can summarize what you wrote in one senetence -

    Ad spending will not shift online from offline in a 1:1 ratio because advertisers will use the web to create their own media. However, search engines, aggregators, and hosting platforms will benefit the most from this shift, not media destinations.

    Ok, that was in two sentences.

  3. Hashim, it’s an art form.

  4. Government Shifts Ad Spend from Print to Online

  5. The Disruptive Shift Of Ad Spending From Offline to Online

  6. In some ways this is good. For one the paper alone that is used for newpapers has had a devastating effect. Secondly, the rates that local newspapers have charged for advertising is criminal and we all pay for that in the long run.

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